Virtual reality that the forecasts in the short term, tend to be very conservative – most people represent the future in the form of slightly extended version of this write IT News.

People think that most of the major social transformations or have already occurred or will occur in the distant future, but this is far from the truth. The world is changing faster than ever before, and a number of technologies that are already in active development, change it beyond recognition. Among them – the self-governing cars and virtual reality. On it we’ll talk.

There are three basic axioms that are necessary to understand, trying to predict the near future:

Ten years later, popular technology is unlikely to be a novelty – it will be smaller, faster, easier, more convenient, more compact and less expensive than what we have today.

The best technology is used today to create tomorrow’s technologies, causing improvement technologies exponentially.

As the exponential growth of technology, the level of acceptance grows symmetrically.

It is also important to note that network effects accelerate the development of many new technologies. Network effect means that the value of technology depends on the number of people using it: The first phone was not value for its owner, but it became when increase in the number of people able to call. Phone became valuable only when the technology is exponential distribution.

Why do most forecasts are wrong about the future

There is one fundamental reason why many forecasts are very wrong: experts and analysts try to use linear models to predict the level of adoption of technologies that evolve exponentially. This happens mostly because they assess the potential of the technology, based on its current form and function; The reality is that this technology every year will get better and better.

Futurologist Zack Kanter leads a good example. In 1980, AT & T has hired consulting giant McKinsey, to the predicted size of the mobile phone market. Based on the slow speed of the historic decision and disadvantages of this technology – heavy device, terrible battery life, poor coverage and absurd cost, – McKinsey famously predicted that by 2000 the total market can hardly pick up a million subscribers. In fact it is the number exceeded 100 million.

Although McKinsey analysis may seem ridiculous, from our point of view, the truth is that very few people at that time foresaw the explosive growth of mobile phones in the coming years. In fact, quite easy to trace the thoughts of analysts: for the time cell phones were awful and looked linear growth – and only when we look at the chart from a distance, it becomes clear that the growth was exponential adoption.

Virtual reality is ready for widespread

Many people see the virtual reality in black and white colors: it is hardly a novelty until until it becomes a real Matrix. But virtual reality is not competing with the perfect simulation of the real world – it competes with traditional sources of media: TV, radio, smart phones, tablets and computers. Those who have reached the age of majority, has carried out at least 8 hours of this network. And good technology of virtual reality for the people ceased to be a pipe dream – it already exists. Oculus Rift brings excellent experience in many ways, and the consumer version will be ready in 2015 at a price of 200-400 dollars apiece.

Consumer behavior described above is well established, which means that technology will soon become inexpensive and available everywhere. It would be foolish to believe that virtual reality will not be at the hearing people in the next 5 years – in fact, the consumption in this area will increase as the content and user experience will improve exponentially.

In other words, I believe that most people would prefer to spend time in virtual reality, viewing some “Game of Thrones” playing Call of Duty or just porn.

The network effect of virtual reality will be grandiose. As more and more people will use virtual reality to grow and platform; it will become more attractive to lure new users and continuing the cycle.

We can not imagine how virtual reality will be developed as a medium – perhaps the most interesting is to divide the virtual experience a la p2p. Imagine interface like YouTube, where you can immerse yourself in the present three-dimensional environment, created by someone else. Of course, we will see mass production of content, including the traditional “top-down” from the media giant and studios.

But this is just the tip of the iceberg. Whole markets are formed exclusively within a virtual reality, perhaps allowing flourish finally Cryptocurrency type Bitcoin. Enterprise applications are often overlooked – but imagine how many jobs of virtual reality, of course, for 10-15 years.

In the real world around virtual reality will not be without winners and losers. Users will have less time for cooking, and it can be assumed that food alternatives like “Soylent” will be very popular, as well as delivery services and catering. Cinemas surely die together with them and major streaming services (if not adaptable, of course). Who will be able to successfully transform 2D-experience in an immersive experience of virtual reality? Facebook, YouTube, Netflix and Google will have to push.

Although, of course, the market will develop associated with virtual reality devices and accessories – even our home furniture will undergo significant changes – a virtual reality will kill whole categories of products. Giants like Amazon will not like it.

Perhaps the biggest problem is the threat of virtual reality for our health and well-being. We know that the seat kills – lack of physical activity is part of the ten leading factors that lead to death, all over the world – and virtual life will certainly exacerbate a lot of problems associated with obesity and inactivity. Surely there will be some innovative approaches in the pharmaceutical industry, preserving muscle mass and bone density, as well as active methods such as treadmills for virtual reality. Many bright minds are already trying to resolve these issues in a different context: for a successful mission to Mars to find a way to preserve the health of astronauts in disastrous conditions of weightlessness. Elon Musk, for example, plans to launch Mars as early as 2026.

He laments the fact that in every corner of the earth have a look, but spread out before us limitless expanses of space. Nevertheless, there is another epic journey, which we will do, looking at the border, which extends infinitely inside: to our minds, in the first universe created by us.

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Developers of the popular YouTube video kept their word and started to implement a new comment system, which was reported six weeks ago .

Starting this week, commenting on the YouTube system will be changed beyond recognition. From now on, all comments on YouTube will be sorted by relevance, not by date of publication. In YouTube hope that in this way they will be able to restore order in the comments and make them more meaningful.

Relying on multiple criteria, a new commenting system will output quality responses on top. It also notes that YouTube users will be able on its own to maintain order in a particular video you posted comments. To do this, they will be given new tools.

On top of other comments from now on will show the video owner, his friends in Google+, as well as answers left by other popular on YouTube users. The new system also considers “good” and a taller comments that collect a lot of answers.

It is worth noting that YouTube does not force users to use the new comment system and leaves them a choice. However, since that time to leave a comment on YouTube, you need to necessarily have an account with Google+.

According to YouTube, the vast majority (four of five), which often leave comments on YouTube, have synchronized their accounts YouTube and Google+. Sync with Google+ account also allows users to discuss specific video in narrow circles. New rules for commenting on YouTube come into force from today.

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In the near future in the YouTube comes very serious change, that is, will be able to download content for offline viewing, although the function will only be available in the mobile customer service. That is, you can download movies to your smartphone or tablet and watch them on the road when you are not connected to the web. Although it is not so simple.

Journalists AllThingsD got hold of a letter largest YouTube partners, which reveals some aspects of the new function. In particular, it is loaded in mobile YouTube content is available for 48 hours without being connected to the web. As soon as there is an Internet connection, this period is automatically extended. Advertising in the videos will remain even in the off-line viewing, however, it will appear only if the built-in flow.

Enjoy YouTube videos without having to connect to the Internet will be starting in November of this year. Although there has long been a third-party mobile clients YouTube, allow you to download videos for offline viewing (McTube for iOS, for example).

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Until now, to watch the video from YouTube via Chromecast had to either go to the website of the same name, or run the mobile application . However, in the near future, this process will become easier. Google began testing public support for viewing videos embedded on third-party websites.

Currently, access to this function unstable – the button “Send” button only appears from time to time and may not be available to everyone. The company says that the main goal is to collect feedback on this feature , and if all goes well , all owners Chromecast in the near future will be able to view the embedded video .

Recall that Chromecast Google was first shown on July 24 and is HDMI- dongle designed for the broadcast of digital media content on it with any gadget , available at hand: a smartphone, tablet or laptop. Works gadget running Chrome OS and is said to Google, ” is still the development of a test .” Well, as we can see , the software giant has not abandoned his child and continues to develop functional .

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Between Google and Microsoft was a misunderstanding, injuring users of devices based on the OS Windows Phone . Speech on YouTube and a special client Microsoft. For the past few days, users can not see a video of the Google service on their smartphones. Internet-based company said that the application violates the terms of service, and it basically surprised by the appearance of a new version of the program without prior approval, according to The Verge . Actually with the release of updates and problems, though, as it turned out, the premise of the conflict were before.

As the representative of Microsoft, Google claimed to alter the application, using his technology-based HTML5. In this case, by requiring the parties had been promised help, but it redmondskaya company has not received. Implement HTML5 instead of the engine before was technically difficult and inefficient. Thus, Microsoft ignored the demands and Google has released a new version of the YouTube client without prior approval.

It is worth noting that Microsoft surprised the requirements of Google’s HTML5 implementation in the application, as this engine is not used in the YouTube version of the client for iOS, or in a version for Android. At the moment companies are working hard to reach a mutually beneficial solution, and users continue to suffer due to lack of easy access to YouTube on Windows Phone.

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Nokia remains more innovation leader in the Windows Phone products and expanded the scope of the platform as belonging, it pretty hard not to take it slowly as ernstzunehmde competition against Android and iOS.

Now the Finns are the first that will allow it to upload images directly to Youtube with Nokia Video Trimmer app to send the finished product there. Unfortunately, only the soon to be released Nokia Lumia 1020 to bring these functions. In addition, a minimum resolution of WVGA for uploads from emergencies, which should be no problem with a 41 megapixel camera and thus release of the older apps on Nokia Lumia smartphones is well planned. Similarly, as will be the case for the new per camera. This new and exclusive Nokia Lumia 1020 app will soon be available for all smartphones with Lumia Zeiss optics for free download.

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Operators of online services from and to build quite like a couple of Easter eggs in their web pages. By executing or entering a specific command, the appearance is thereby changed or something special happens on the website. YouTube has currently over the Twitter account pointed to a new Easter egg. One should the code “53 65 61 72 63 68 20 59 6f 75 54 75 62 65 20 66 6f 72 20 2f 20 67 65 6b 65 77 65 65 6b” translating to obtain a retro version of YouTube. Converted this means “/ geekweek”, which you then simply need to enter in the YouTube search. After pressing the Enter key turns the YouTube page in a chic black page with green font when calling a video, but unfortunately you return to the normal view. Send gimmick!

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